Alpamayo R1

Lost in Fog: Sensor Perturbations Expose Reasoning Fragility in Driving VLAs

This paper presents a controlled robustness study of Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models in autonomous driving, evaluating Alpamayo R1 (10B parameters) across ~18,000 inference trials under eight sensor perturbation types including noise, lighting extremes, and fog. The key finding is that Chain-of-Causation (CoC) reasoning consistency is a high-fidelity proxy for trajectory reliability: when CoC explanations change post-perturbation, trajectory deviation spikes 5.3× (r=0.99 across attack types). Enabling CoC generation is associated with 11.8% average improvement in trajectory accuracy, and degradation under noise is approximately linear (R²=0.957), while standard preprocessing defenses offer only marginal benefit.