CORAL

The Matching Principle: A Geometric Theory Unifying Robustness, Domain Adaptation, and Alignment via Nuisance Covariance

This paper proposes the 'matching principle': a unified geometric framework arguing that robustness methods (CORAL, IRM, adversarial training, augmentation, metric learning, Jacobian penalties, alignment constraints) are all estimators of the same object—the covariance of label-preserving deployment nuisance—and that regularizing the encoder Jacobian along this covariance's range is the core statistical problem. The authors prove closed-form optimality results in a linear-Gaussian model, introduce the Trajectory Deviation Index (TDI) as a label-free embedding sensitivity probe, and validate predictions across 13 pre-registered experimental blocks including Qwen2.5-7B. At 7B scale, matched style-PMH improves selective honesty while standard DPO degrades Style TDI, connecting the theory to alignment safety.