Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model

COGENT: Continuous graph emulator with Neural ODEs for long-term physical forecasting on irregular meshes

COGENT is a new architecture combining graph neural networks with Neural Ordinary Differential Equations for continuous-time physical forecasting on irregular geospatial meshes. The model encodes historical system states and forcings into latent dynamics that can be queried at arbitrary future times, avoiding the error accumulation of autoregressive rollout. Evaluated on ice-sheet simulations from the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model, COGENT shows improved long-range stability over autoregressive graph baselines. The work introduces training stabilization strategies including rollout-horizon sampling and progressive scheduling.