smolvlm-instruct-9e500752·1 events·first seen Aliases: SmolVLM-Instruct
A new arXiv paper evaluates two small open-weight vision-language models (Qwen2-VL-2B-Instruct and SmolVLM-Instruct) under six realistic image degradations, comparing verbalized confidence against internal token probability as uncertainty signals. Verbalized confidence is found to be nearly constant and near-chance at error detection (AUROC ~0.50), while internal token probability reliably separates correct from incorrect answers (AUROC 0.92–0.99). Both signals fail under severe underexposure, where accuracy collapses but confidence barely moves. The authors conclude that internal probability is the superior deferral signal for constrained deployments, and that small VLMs encode self-knowledge they cannot articulate.