LLMs automate reproducibility assessments in social and behavioral sciences, outperforming human reanalysts
A preprint from arXiv demonstrates that an LLM pipeline can automate reproducibility assessments of published social and behavioral science studies, recovering original effect sizes in 41% of cases (vs. 34% for human reanalysts) and reaching the same qualitative conclusion in 96% of cases (vs. 74% for humans). The study evaluated 76 published studies with predefined claims. The results suggest LLMs could serve as a scalable tool for systematic auditing of empirical research, addressing the resource-intensive nature of traditional reproducibility efforts.
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Paper challenges LLM expert-level claims by measuring variance and error magnitude in code-based data analysis tasks
A new arXiv paper argues that standard LLM benchmarks overstate model capabilities by focusing on average performance on training-data-adjacent tasks while ignoring response variance and error magnitude. The authors introduce a novel benchmark requiring frontier LLMs to write code for data analysis tasks, comparing results against human expert submissions. Human experts outperformed the frontier LLM on average across multiple metrics and showed lower performance variability. The findings challenge the prevailing narrative that LLMs perform at human-expert level on knowledge economy tasks.
LLM vs. first-year PhD student on EconCS research: workflow study using stable menus of public goods
A preprint uses an open problem from EC 2025 as a testbed to evaluate AI-assisted research workflows in economics and computer science. The study examines whether human intuition in prompts, multi-turn interaction, and LLM capability compare favorably to a first-year PhD student's contributions. Key findings: human intuition in prompts improves LLM 'taste', multi-turn workflows help when encouraging ambitious steps, and the LLM performs slightly below the first-year PhD student on the same problem. The work contributes empirical evidence on the practical utility and limits of LLMs as research collaborators in formal theory domains.
LLM psychological profiles are largely measurement artifacts, not model properties
A new arXiv preprint administers a battery of personality and risk-preference instruments to 56 instruction-tuned LLMs alongside large human reference samples, finding that 81-90% of between-model variation is explained by directional response bias rather than the traits the instruments target. The authors introduce the concept of 'response orthogonality' to explain why some instruments appear more reliable than others, and show that apparent psychological profiles can be manufactured through item selection. The findings challenge the validity of using human-designed psychometric tools to characterize LLMs, with direct implications for safety assessment and the use of LLMs as proxies for human participants in research.
Benchmarking study finds LLMs fail at counterintuitive probability problems despite strong standard performance
A new arXiv paper evaluates 8 state-of-the-art LLMs on discrete probability problems using two datasets: standard exercises (average accuracy 0.96) and counterintuitive exercises designed to trigger heuristic reasoning (average accuracy 0.59). The authors document token bias causing 20%+ performance drops when canonical problem formulations are disguised, and up to 34% degradation when misleading suggestions are embedded in prompts. The findings argue that current LLMs are not genuine probabilistic reasoners despite their success on advanced math benchmarks.
ReproRepo: Scalable LLM agent framework for reproducibility auditing using GitHub issues
ReproRepo is a new framework for evaluating LLM agents on reproducibility auditing of ML research, using naturally occurring GitHub issues as supervision signals rather than costly manual curation. The framework is instantiated on 1,149 recent ML papers from major conferences and benchmarks four frontier model-agent configurations. The best-performing agent (Codex with GPT-5.5) surfaces at least one semantically related human-reported reproduction blocker for ~90% of papers, though exact localization of issues remains a weakness. The work provides a reusable, scalable evaluation harness for this underexplored agentic task.
LLMs fail to consistently simulate demographic perspective-taking in hate speech annotation
A new arXiv paper evaluates whether persona-conditioned LLMs can replicate how different demographic groups perceive hate speech, testing three dimensions: inter-group disagreement, in-group sensitivity, and vicarious prediction. No model consistently captures all three dimensions, and performance is highly model-dependent rather than emerging reliably from identity prompts alone. Vicarious prompting with Llama 3.1 provides the closest approximation to human disagreement patterns across demographic axes. The findings have implications for using LLMs as proxies for diverse human annotators in content moderation tasks.
Text Analytics Evaluation Framework: Benchmarking LLMs on Social Media NLP Tasks
Researchers introduce a 470-question evaluation framework to assess LLM performance on aggregated social media text, applied to Twitter datasets across sentiment analysis, hate speech detection, and emotion recognition. Results show performance degrades substantially as input scale exceeds 500 instances, particularly for open-weights models on numerical tasks. Multi-label and target-dependent scenarios also show notable performance drops, and task complexity progressively erodes accuracy from basic semantic identification to comparison and counting operations. The findings point to architectural bottlenecks in current LLMs for rigorous quantitative analysis over large text collections.
Tracing the Emergence of Human-Like Pragmatic Reasoning in LLMs Across Languages
Researchers conducted a population-matching experiment evaluating 25 LLMs on conditional inference tasks across four languages, comparing model behavior to matched human populations. The study finds that LLMs function as accurate semantic operators but systematically fail to capture pragmatic enrichments—context-sensitive inferences beyond literal logical meaning—that humans apply effortlessly. Model performance on pragmatic reasoning is not predicted by open vs. closed weights, training orientation, or architecture type, suggesting pragmatic reasoning remains an emergent and unreliable capability. The findings contribute to ongoing debates about whether LLMs reason like humans or merely approximate surface-level linguistic patterns.